Recession Warning: The Fed’s Key Indicator Flashes Red Again

PatriotR Daily News 02/28/25

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ECONOMIC NEWS

Recession Warning: The Fed’s Key Indicator Flashes Red Again

The Federal Reserve’s preferred recession signal—an inverted yield curve—has reappeared, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling below the 3-month note. This pattern has historically predicted downturns with high accuracy, raising concerns about economic growth.

Key takeaways:

  • The Fed closely watches the 10-year/3-month yield spread as a reliable recession predictor.

  • While past inversions haven’t always resulted in immediate recessions, markets are now pricing in Fed rate cuts amid slowing growth.

  • Economic uncertainty is rising, fueled by trade policies, inflation concerns, and shifting investor sentiment.

Though the labor market remains strong, markets are signaling caution. Whether a recession materializes or not, economic activity is expected to soften in the coming year. Read More.

FINANCIAL NEWS

How to Protect Your Wealth Before Capital Controls Strike

Governments often impose capital controls unexpectedly, restricting citizens from moving their money abroad. History shows that when financial crises hit, authorities use surprise bank holidays, currency devaluations, and wealth confiscation tactics to trap assets within national borders. With the global monetary system under strain, the likelihood of capital controls in the U.S. is rising.

The warning sign? Official denials—when politicians and central bankers insist capital controls “won’t happen,” they’re often imminent. To safeguard your wealth, consider these three strategies:

  1. Open a foreign bank account – Funds held abroad are harder for local governments to seize.

  2. Invest in foreign real estate – Property in another country is a strong hedge against domestic financial restrictions.

  3. Hold physical gold in a non-bank vault – Offshore bullion storage protects assets from government reach.

The dollar-based financial system is unraveling, and capital controls could arrive sooner than expected. Being proactive now can make all the difference in preserving your financial security. Read More.

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