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​Recession Risks: What It Means and Where the U.S. Economy Might Be Headed, According to Experts

President Trump raised concerns this week by not ruling out the possibility of a U.S. recession, while Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick defended Trump's economic policies even if they lead to a downturn. A recession is typically defined as a sustained and widespread decline in economic activity, determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), which evaluates indicators like employment, consumer spending, and industrial production.

Currently, the U.S. economy does not appear to be in a recession, as job growth continues and only some warning signs—such as declining retail spending and shaken consumer confidence—have emerged. While traditional recession triggers aren’t flashing red, uncertainty surrounding tariffs, trade, and fiscal policy is dampening economic sentiment.

If a recession occurs, job losses and rising unemployment would be the clearest indicators. Lower-wage and minority workers are often hit hardest, along with those carrying heavy debt burdens. While economists don't foresee an immediate downturn, growing economic uncertainty could increase recession risks in the future. Read More.

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Reforming Government: Eliminating Crime and Cutting Waste

While China remains a key player in the gold market, Poland has emerged as the top central bank buyer. In February, Poland’s central bank added 29 tonnes to its reserves, bringing its year-to-date total to 32 tonnes. This follows its 90-tonne purchase last year.

China’s central bank increased its gold reserves by five tonnes in February, with a total of 10 tonnes added this year. Despite slowing purchases, analysts see room for further growth in China's gold holdings. Meanwhile, ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and concerns over U.S. dollar stability continue to drive central bank gold demand, with analysts predicting prices could rise above $3,000 per ounce. Listen Now.